Prime minister to give speech after report that some ministers are unhappy over handling of the budget
Good morning. At Westminster there used to be a theory about budgets that, if they were well received on the day, they tended to go wrong later, but the ones that were widely criticised at the time turned out to be the good ones. This does not help with Rachel Reeves’s budget though, because its reception has been very mixed. On the day it was popular with Labour MPs and with the bond markets, two important audiences for the Treasury. But the public at large believe it was unfair, and it has result in Reeves’s approval ratings with voters, which were already very low, sinking further.
And that was before a huge row erupted over whether or not Reeves misled voters about the extent of the “black hole” in the national finances.
We have to confront the reality that our welfare state is trapping people, not just in poverty, but out of work. Young people especially. And that is a poverty of ambition. And so while we will invest in apprenticeships and make sure every young person without a job has a guaranteed offer of training or work.
We must also reform the welfare state itself – that is what renewal demands. Now – this is not about propping up a broken status quo.
One cabinet minister said: “Why did Keir and Rachel allow the country to believe for so long that we would break our manifesto by putting up income tax by 2p when they would have known that wasn’t true?
“At no point were the cabinet told about the reality of the OBR forecasts. Had we been told, we might have been in a position to advise against setting hares running on income tax and giving the public the impression we are casual about our manifesto commitments. The handling of this budget has been a disaster from start to finish.”