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Analysts are calling Google’s antitrust decision ‘broadly favorable’ and ‘benign’

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Google CEO Sundar Pichai speaks during Google I/O 2016
Sundar Pichai speaks during a Google I/O conference.

  • Google avoided divesting Chrome in an antitrust ruling, boosting its stock 6.7% in after-hours trading.
  • Analysts see the ruling as largely favorable for the search giant and raised Google’s stock targets.
  • Analysts called the decision “benign” and said it removed a “significant overhang” on the stock.

The verdict on Google’s lengthy lawsuit is out, and analysts say the search giant left the room largely unscathed.

Nearly five years after the Department of Justice filed an antitrust suit against Google, a district judge on Tuesday ruled that Google won’t have to divest its Chrome or YouTube businesses.

Instead, District Judge Amit Mehta’s ruling said that Google will be barred from entering exclusive contracts with partners such as Apple to give its search engine priority, and it will be forced to share some data with rivals.

Google’s stock jumped 6.7% after hours following the decision.

In post-ruling reactions, analysts called the decision “benign” and said that it finally removed a “significant overhang” on Google’s stock.

“The judge’s decision largely surrounded opening up portions of Google’s search technology to competitors rather than trying to disrupt its distribution framework (ie divesting Chrome) which seemed like the more adverse risk to us,” RBC Capital analysts led by Brad Erickson wrote in a note on Tuesday.

“The path for compounding earnings growth along with multiple expansion hasn’t looked this clear in some time,” the RBC analysts added.

RBC raised its price target for the company from $220 to $260 on Tuesday.

Alphabet, Google’s parent company, closed at $212 on Tuesday.

Analysts at Wedbush titled their note, “Government Folds Like Cheap Suit” and wrote: “The outcome is broadly favorable for Google, in our view, with the court ruling against the most severe remedy proposals introduced by the DOJ.”

The Wedbush analysts led by Scott Devitt shared three reasons they are bullish on Google and think its stock is being punished compared to Big Tech peers like Meta.

First, they said that Tuesday’s decision removed “lingering risks” associated with the worst-case outcome for the company. Second, they said that the impact of generative AI rivals such as OpenAI and Perplexity is fading. Lastly, they added that Google’s leadership is “repositioning the business as a winner in the AI space, with strong demand trends and an acceleration in Cloud growth.”

Wedbush raised its stock price target from $225 to $245 on Tuesday.

Google’s stock has risen 11.3% year to date.

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Wednesday briefing: How Zack Polanski’s populist takeover could change the Green party forever

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In today’s newsletter: The leftwing candidate crushed rivals Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns. Will his leadership take the party to new heights – or risk alienating hard-won moderates?

Good morning. After a bruising leadership contest, Zack Polanski didn’t just win the Green party vote, he cleaned up. His “eco-populist” platform – which borrowed directly from Nigel Farage’s playbook – earned him 85% of votes.

Polanski defeated Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns, winning 20,411 votes relative to their 3,705 in a ballot of party members. The contest exposed deeper questions about Green party identity and how it positions itself amid a rapidly shifting political landscape.

UK news | Britain’s long-term borrowing costs have hit their highest level in 27 years, intensifying the pressure on the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, before the autumn budget.

Spain | Europe and western countries’ double standards over the wars in Ukraine and Gaza threaten to undermine their global standing, the Spanish prime minister, Pedro Sánchez, has warned.

Brazil | Former Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro and seven of his allies, including four senior members of the military, have gone on trial for allegedly attempting to stage a coup.

China | Xi Jinping warned the world faced a choice between peace or war as he capped a week of diplomatic grandstanding with China’s largest-ever military parade, flanked by Russia’s Vladimir Putin and North Korea’s Kim Jong-un.

UK news | Esther Ghey, the mother of the murdered teenager Brianna Ghey, and the Oscar-winning actor Kate Winslet are calling on Keir Starmer to legally ban smartphones in schools.

Continue reading…


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Quick-moving wildfire scorches historic California gold mining town, burning multiple homes

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Quick-moving wildfire scorches historic California gold mining town, burning multiple homes [deltaMinutes] mins ago Now

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LA tow truck driver arrested for stealing ICE agents’ vehicle as they struggled to detain TikTok influencer

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Nunez allegedly “got into his Dodge tow truck and towed one of the government vehicles that was boxing in Martinez’s vehicle.”

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A suicide bombing near a political rally in southwestern Pakistan kills 13 and wounds 30

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A suicide bombing near a political rally in southwestern Pakistan kills 13 and wounds 30 [deltaMinutes] mins ago Now

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Liberty close to adding key reinforcements in huge boost

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The Liberty are close to being whole again.

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Vice President JD Vance and second lady Usha will visit Minnesota to pay their respects to victims of Catholic school mass shooting

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The couple will “hold a series of private meetings to convey condolences to the families of those affected by the tragedy,” Vance’s office announced Tuesday.

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Forget tariff rollbacks — the US will keep charging for imports one way or another, analysts say

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Trump at White House 'Liberation Day' event
President Donald Trump’s administration is likely to use other laws to impose import charges even if his sweeping tariff plan is ruled illegal, according to analysts.

  • A federal appeals court ruled Trump’s sweeping tariff plan illegal but let it stand through October 14.
  • Analysts say the administration can pivot to other legal authorities to keep tariffs in place.
  • THEY SAY de-escalation is likely by late 2025 as Trump turns his focus to midterm election politics.

When it comes to tariffs, Washington has no plan B.

That means import charges aren’t going anywhere, even after a federal appeals court on Friday ruled that President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff plan was illegal.

“Don’t lose sleep on interpreting what it means,” analysts at ING Bank wrote on Tuesday.

“The simple and straightforward way to view this is tariffs remain in place, and will remain in place going forward,” they added.

Even if the case reaches the Supreme Court and it upholds the lower court decision, investors should “continue to assume that the tariffs remain in place,” the ING analysts wrote.

That’s because the Trump administration is “all in on macro management via tariffs,” and can pivot to other laws — from national security provisions to balance-of-payments measures — to keep them alive, the analysts wrote.

Most importantly, they said Congress could step in with a law giving the executive branch more expansive tariff powers.

Grace Fan, a managing director of policy research at GlobalData.TS Lombard, echoed that view.

Trump will surely double down by tapping other tariff authorities, keeping trade war chaos ongoing in the next few months as tariff winners/losers shift,” she wrote in a note on Saturday.

Still, Fan said she expects a shift by late 2025.

“Our base case remains trade war de-escalation by end-2025, as electoral politics eclipse foreign policy as Trump’s top obsession in the runup to the Nov 2026 midterm elections,” she wrote.

That could create a more positive backdrop for US and global equities, even as doubts linger about America’s reindustrialization drive.

For bond markets, the story is trickier. Lower tariff revenues could widen the fiscal deficit just as investors fret about the Federal Reserve’s independence following Trump’s push to oust Governor Lisa Cook and his clashes with Chair Jerome Powell.

At the same time, any tariff rollback would ease pressure on consumer prices, which is why retailers — and US households — are watching closely.

For now, tariffs remain in place. The appeals court allowed them to stay through October 14 to give the Trump administration time to file an appeal with the Supreme Court.

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Dentist slaughters wife, budding classical musician daughter, 15, in murder-suicide at tragic family’s $1.7M Georgia mansion

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A Georgia dentist – whose “primary goal” was to make patients smile – murdered his wife and teenage daughter before killing himself inside their $1.7 million home in a suspected murder-suicide.

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Trump accuses Putin, Kim Jong Un and Xi Jinping of conspiring against the US as they meet at military parade in China

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“Please give my warmest regards to Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un, as you conspire against The United States of America,” Trump wrote in a social media post directed at Xi.

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